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80Polymarket launches trading of heavily leveraged 'perps' contracts
Polymarket, a prediction markets platform, has launched trading of perpetual futures contracts, also known as 'perps'. The company announced this expansion on Tuesday.
Polymarket in Talks to Raise Money at About $15 Billion Valuation
Polymarket is reportedly in discussions with investors to raise $400 million in funding, potentially reaching a valuation of $15 billion with the new capital, adding to the $600 million already invested.
A Polymarket trader made $300,000 betting on Biden's pardons, a new analysis shows
A trader on Polymarket made $300,000 by betting on Biden's pardons shortly before the end of his term, despite the low odds.
POLITICO Pro
Venture capital firm 1789 Capital, where Donald Trump Jr. is a partner, made a strategic investment in the prediction market giant Polymarket.
Trump administration sues three states over attempts to regulate prediction markets
The Trump administration is suing three states in an ambitious effort to override state laws and regulate the growing prediction markets industry.
Event Horizon
Event Horizon, by Dustin Gouker, is a Substack newsletter covering the prediction markets industry, including news, analysis, and legal insights regarding Kalshi, Polymarket, PredictIt and others.
Polymarket and Dow Jones, Publisher of The Wall Street Journal, Announce Exclusive Prediction Market Partnership
Polymarket and Dow Jones (publisher of The Wall Street Journal) announced an exclusive prediction market partnership to launch new data products across WSJ and other Dow Jones publications.
Polymarket Reverses Course on Startups That Piggyback on Insider Trades
Polymarket, a prediction market, launched a program to support startups that direct trades to its platform, but these startups began enabling customers to copy suspected insider trading accounts. This occurred while Polymarket was under pressure to curb insider trading.
What Are Weather Prediction Markets and Do They Work?
Bloomberg reports on the rise of weather prediction markets on platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket, and the debate among climate experts about their accuracy and utility.
Google says Polymarket bets showing up in News was an ‘error’
Google News displayed links to Polymarket prediction market bets alongside news organizations due to an unspecified "error", which Google has since stated has been corrected.
‘Abhorrent’: the inside story of the Polymarket gamblers betting millions on war
A Guardian investigation reveals that Polymarket, a prediction market, is being used to bet millions on outcomes related to war and other global events, influencing perceptions of truth and news dissemination.
Google News Now Prominently Featuring Polymarket Bets Instead of Actual Journalism
Google News is now prominently featuring Polymarket bets alongside actual journalism, amidst growing controversy surrounding prediction markets.
Newly created Polymarket accounts win big on well-timed Iran ceasefire bets
This Guardian article reports on newly created Polymarket accounts profiting from well-timed bets regarding an Iran ceasefire, making hundreds of thousands of dollars.
Iran Prediction Market Bets on Polymarket Raise Questions Over Insider Activity
Bets on a ceasefire between the US and Iran have resulted in over $170 million being wagered on Polymarket, leading to disputes and insider scrutiny regarding the geopolitical market.
Nobody Knows How to File Taxes on Prediction Market Wins
As prediction markets like Polymarket have grown in popularity, Americans who earned winnings on these platforms last year are now faced with the complex and uncertain task of filing their taxes, due to the lack of clear IRS guidelines on how to report these gains and losses.
Hezbollah military action against Israel on...? Trading Odds & Predictions
Polymarket reports that $134,440 has been traded on the event "Hezbollah military action against Israel..." as of April 6, 2026.
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...? Predi...
Polymarket indicates that $13,631,280 has been traded on the event "Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control..." as of April 6, 2026.
Nevada judge upholds ruling against Kalshi - NEXT.io
A Nevada judge upheld a previous ruling against Polymarket competitor Kalshi, preventing it from offering event-based contracts, such as those dealing with election results, without obtaining a gaming license in Nevada.
They Built the Escape Route Before the Crime: A Systems Architect's Guide to the Iran Trade Scandal
The article analyzes the dependencies from DOJ gutting to Polymarket insider trades to $580M oil futures bets placed 15 minutes before a presidential announcement related to Iran, highlighting how monitoring was removed before the exploit.
Any of the stolen KitKats recovered by April 5? Predictio... 2026
$159,130 has been traded on a Polymarket prediction market regarding the recovery of stolen KitKats by April 1, 2026.
Polymarket’s pop-up betting bar in nation’s capital was a bit odd
Polymarket, a prediction market platform, hosted a pop-up betting bar in the nation's capital for three days, attracting young professionals, journalists, and curious onlookers, but faced technical issues on opening night.
Kalshi and Polymarket are using influencers to lure in the 50% who don’t bet on sports gambling sites: women
The Independent reports that prediction markets like Kalshi and Polymarket are using social media influencers to attract a female audience, who make up 50% of those who don't bet on sports gambling sites.
Trump is right about polls
The article discusses a phone call with President Trump regarding the potential of prediction markets.
Access Denied
Polymarket announced updated market integrity rules across its DeFi platform and its CFTC-regulated U.S. exchange.
Evidence Grows of Iran Insider Trading on Polymarket
Reports suggest potential insider trading on Polymarket related to wagers on the Iran war, raising concerns about illicit activity.
Polymarket’s Coming-Out Party in Washington Was a Disaster
Polymarket's pop-up event in Washington, D.C., intended to allow attendees to bet on geopolitical crises in real-time, did not go as planned.
Bets on US-Iran ceasefire show signs of insider knowledge, say experts
Experts suggest that betting activity on Polymarket related to a potential US-Iran ceasefire shows signs of insider knowledge, with $70,000 wagered across new accounts.
MLB reaches agreements with Polymarket, federal commission
MLB has reached agreements with Polymarket, a prediction market, and a federal commission, according to this ESPN article.
Polymarket gamblers threaten Israeli journalist over missile strike story
An Israeli journalist received threats due to a $23 million wager on the online prediction platform Polymarket based on his reporting, according to this article.
Press release: MLB names Polymarket exclusive Prediction Market Exchange partner and signs agreement with CFTC to establish integrity framework
MLB named Polymarket as its Official Prediction Market Exchange and signed an agreement with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) to establish an integrity framework.
Polymarket Seeks Chief Risk Officer After Legal Hiring Spree
Polymarket, a prediction markets platform, is seeking to hire a chief risk officer as it aims to expand its regulated business operations within the US.
Argentina joins growing list of countries blocking Polymarket access
Argentina has joined a growing list of countries blocking access to Polymarket, with a ruling directing internet providers to block the site and Apple and Google to remove or restrict the platform's mobile apps.
Americans to Legally Wager $3.3 Billion on March Madness; Nearly Half of Digital Sports Betting Ads Now Come from Prediction Market Platforms - American Gaming Association
The American Gaming Association projects Americans will legally wager $3.3 billion on March Madness, with nearly half of digital sports betting ads originating from prediction market platforms.
NCAAB Props Trading Odds & Predictions
Polymarket offers real-time odds for trading on sports outcomes related to NCAAB props.
Yahoo CEO Jim Lanzone on AI, gambling, and the open web
In this episode, Jim Lanzone, CEO of Yahoo, discusses the company's focus on prediction markets through Polymarket, its advertising strategies, and its integration of AI into search functionalities. He highlights Yahoo's profitable revival and its strategic role in navigating the evolving landscape of the open web.
Insider Trading Is Going to Get People Killed
An article in The Atlantic argues that prediction markets, particularly those related to war and national security, present a significant threat. The author contends that insider trading on platforms like Polymarket could lead to dangerous real-world consequences, potentially costing lives.
2 young billionaires are behind the prediction market boom. They hate each other
Prediction market companies Kalshi and Polymarket are in competition, led by 20-something billionaires. The two companies are battling to become the top prediction market firm, with some insiders saying the feud is intensifying.
NCAAB Trading Odds & Predictions
Polymarket lists March Madness Games 2025 predictions, offering real-time odds for users to trade on the platform. The predictions are dated as of March 6, 2026.
Is It Illegal to Bet on Inside Info About the Iran War?
The piece examines the legality of placing bets based on insider information, specifically referencing a hypothetical scenario about betting on an Iran war or what MrBeast says in a video. It delves into the complexities of applying insider trading laws to non-traditional markets and events.
After Maduro was captured, someone made $400,000 on Polymarket : NPR
A $400,000 profit made on Polymarket, a prediction market, from a bet on the capture of Venezuelan leader Nicolás Maduro, has raised questions of potential insider trading. Online sleuths have been unable to uncover the identity of the bettor, but prediction market observers have deemed the trade suspect.
Sports betting giant DraftKings cutting jobs amid fight with prediction markets
DraftKings, the Boston-based sports betting company, is laying off an undisclosed number of employees as it faces increased competition from prediction markets. The company has not specified which departments or locations are affected by the job cuts.
Polymarket shelves nuclear detonation markets after outcry
Polymarket, a prediction market platform, removed its nuclear weapon-themed markets following public outcry. The contracts allowed users to bet on potential nuclear detonations, sparking controversy that led to their deletion from the platform.
With Iran War, Kalshi and Polymarket Bet That the Depravity Economy Has No Bottom
Gambling markets Kalshi and Polymarket are offering betting options related to a potential war with Iran, sparking criticism for profiting from conflict. These platforms have previously faced scrutiny for allowing bets on sensitive topics such as geopolitical events and mortality.
Allegations of insider trading over prediction-market bets tied to Iran conflict
Online prediction market Polymarket faces insider trading allegations related to bets placed before public knowledge of an Iran conflict development. Observers noted unusually high-volume trading before the news broke, raising concerns about the potential misuse of non-public information.
Polymarket Iran Bets Hit $529 Million as New Wallets Raise Insider Concerns
Polymarket bettors traded $529 million on contracts tied to the timing of strikes on Iran. Blockchain sleuths began examining unusual patterns in recent bets as US and Israeli bombs fell on Iran.
OpenAI Fires an Employee for Prediction Market Insider Trading
OpenAI fired an employee for violating its insider trading policy by making trades on prediction markets like Polymarket and Kalshi using confidential information. The incident highlights the growing scrutiny of Big Tech employees engaging in prediction markets based on non-public knowledge.
Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season? Predicti...
Polymarket lists real-time odds for a prediction market event: "Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?" Trading is available on the platform as of February 25, 2026.
Polymarket and 𝕏 Announce Official Prediction Market Partnership
Polymarket, a prediction market platform, has partnered with 𝕏 (formerly Twitter). The partnership aims to integrate prediction markets into the social media platform, potentially enhancing user engagement and information discovery.
Iran Predictions & Real-Time Odds
Polymarket is offering predictions and real-time odds related to Iran as of February 20, 2026. The URL provided directs users to Polymarket's prediction market for insights on this topic.
Golden Globes bring gambling to awards in Polymarket parnership
The Golden Globes are partnering with Polymarket to bring online betting to the awards show. The partnership aims to increase audience engagement, with Polymarket enabling users to bet on the winners of various categories.
The CEOs of Kalshi and Polymarket Are Betting On the Most Hated Experiment in Business
The *Vanity Fair* article analyzes the prediction market platforms Kalshi and Polymarket, highlighting their increasing influence and the potential for users to both gain and lose significant amounts of money by wagering on various events from politics to weather. Despite regulatory scrutiny and controversy, prediction markets are becoming increasingly powerful and difficult to stop.
🔮 Polymarket is Doubling Down on Substack
Polymarket is increasing its presence on Substack after launching "The Oracle by Polymarket" on the platform a year ago. The specific plans for expansion and content strategy are not mentioned.
Journalists wake up to the power of prediction markets » Nieman Journalism Lab
The Nieman Lab article discusses the increasing interest in prediction markets within the journalism industry. It highlights the potential for these markets to tap into collective audience knowledge and improve accuracy in reporting and forecasting.
Why Prediction Markets Need Insider Trading
A Polymarket user made $400,000 betting on Nicolás Maduro's ouster hours before it occurred, sparking insider trading accusations. According to the "godfather of prediction markets," insider trading is a net positive because it improves accuracy and incentivizes information flow.
Israelis accused of using military secrets to place Polymarket bets : NPR
Israel has accused two individuals of using military secrets to place bets on Polymarket. The Tel Aviv indictment is the first publicly known instance of people being accused of leveraging confidential information for profit on the prediction market.
In 2024, prediction markets called the presidential election before the polls could. Now, they’re mostly betting on sports.
Prediction markets, which accurately forecasted the 2024 presidential election, are experiencing growth with a shift towards sports betting. The article highlights the growth and potential of prediction markets.
Exclusive: Crypto venture firm Dragonfly closes $650 million fund—even as VCs face ‘mass extinction’
Dragonfly, a cryptocurrency venture capital firm, closed its fourth fund at $650 million. The firm is known for early investments in Polymarket and Ethena, despite the overall downturn in venture capital funding.
404 Page Not Found
This URL leads to a 404 page on Polymarket, a prediction market platform. The specific event the user was trying to access is no longer available.
Polymarket investor Vitalik Buterin says prediction markets need to stop catering to 'dumb opinions'
Polymarket investor Vitalik Buterin suggested prediction markets should pivot from speculative topics to AI-powered hedging tools that offset real-world costs like housing and food. Buterin believes the current speculative model caters to "dumb opinions."
Sports betting reshaped newsrooms, and it’s “a little gross.” Now, here come the prediction markets
The increasing integration of sports betting into newsrooms has raised ethical concerns, leading some to describe the situation as "gross." Prediction markets are emerging as the next potential disruptor, prompting questions about their impact on the integrity of sports media.
VCs Are Throwing Money At Recent College Grads To Build Prediction Markets
VC firms are heavily investing in prediction market startups, particularly those founded by recent college graduates. Polymarket and Kalshi have attracted $3.7 billion in new capital and created young billionaires, driving the trend.
Polymarket and Kalshi Are Shitposting Their Way to Legitimacy
Polymarket and Kalshi, prediction market platforms with valuations exceeding $10 billion, are utilizing unconventional social media strategies akin to troll accounts to cultivate legitimacy. These platforms engage in humorous and provocative online interactions to attract attention and build a unique brand identity within the tech and finance sectors.
TKO And Polymarket Announce First-Of-Its-Kind Sports Partnership
TKO Group Holdings, the parent company of UFC and WWE, has partnered with Polymarket, making the latter the official and exclusive prediction market partner of UFC and Zuffa Boxing. The collaboration aims to create new fan engagement opportunities via Polymarket's prediction market platform.
AI Is Getting Scary Good at Making Predictions
AI's predictive capabilities are rapidly advancing, even surpassing human "superforecasters" in accuracy. Experts are increasingly concerned about the implications, with some superforecasters believing AI will soon make their own skills obsolete.
Super Bowl 2026: Kalshi, Polymarket Lure Pro Gamblers From Sportsbooks
Prediction markets like Kalshi and Polymarket are attracting professional gamblers who are seeking alternatives to traditional sportsbooks. These platforms allow users to bet on the outcomes of various events, including Super Bowl LX in 2026, using a contract-based system.
How Are Markets Disputed?
This Polymarket documentation page explains how users can dispute the outcome of markets on the platform. It details the dispute process, including the initial dispute period, community review, and resolution process, ensuring fair and accurate market outcomes.
Market Outcomes
The Kalshi Help Center article explains how market outcomes work on their platform, focusing on the resolution process for Yes/No contracts. It describes the roles of Kalshi's research team and the independent third-party auditor in determining accurate and reliable outcomes.
Who will perform at 2026 Big Game halftime show? Predicti...
Polymarket hosts a prediction market for the performer at the 2026 Super Bowl halftime show, allowing users to trade on their beliefs about who will take the stage on February 10, 2026.
Pro Football Championship MVP Predictions & Odds
Polymarket is offering real-time odds and a prediction market for the "Pro Football Championship MVP" as of February 5, 2026. Users can trade on Polymarket's platform to speculate on who will win the MVP award.
Bad Bunny wears a dress or skirt at the Pro Football Cham...
Polymarket is hosting a prediction market on whether Bad Bunny will wear a dress or skirt at the Pro Football Championship as of February 5, 2026. Users can trade on the outcome via the Polymarket platform.
Will Bad Bunny say "Fuck ICE" at the Pro Football Champio...
Polymarket is offering a prediction market on whether Bad Bunny will say "Fuck ICE" at the Super Bowl as of February 5, 2026. Users can trade on the outcome of this event on Polymarket's platform.
First song at 2026 Pro Football Championship Halftime Sho...
Polymarket lists real-time odds for "First song at 2026 Pro Football Championship Halftime Show?" as of February 5, 2026. The platform allows users to trade on this prediction market.
Pro Football Champion 2026 Predictions & Odds
Polymarket is hosting a prediction market for the "Pro Football Champion 2026," allowing users to trade on the odds of which team will win the Super Bowl in February 2026. Real-time odds are available on the platform.
Predictions market regulator scraps proposed ban on sports contracts, says new rules are coming
The CFTC (Commodity Futures Trading Commission) has decided against a proposed ban on contracts related to live sports events offered by platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket. New regulations are expected to be introduced instead, as these contracts have sparked comparisons to the expanding realm of legalized sports betting in the United States.
Super Bowl Props Predictions & Odds
Polymarket lists resolved Super Bowl prop bets and their historical odds. It offers a prediction market for various Super Bowl-related events and outcomes.
Online trades on Maduro ouster spur bill to ban Polymarket insider trading
A bill proposed by Rep. Ritchie Torres aims to prohibit government officials from using insider information to trade on prediction markets like Polymarket. This legislation is a direct response to activity surrounding predictions about the potential ouster of Nicolás Maduro in Venezuela.
Gambling platform Polymarket not paying bets on US invasion of Venezuela
Polymarket, a gambling platform, is refusing to pay out $10.5 million in bets placed on a US invasion of Venezuela. Gamblers are upset because the capture of Nicolás Maduro was deemed not to qualify as an invasion, leading to the platform's decision.
Polymarket and Kalshi CEOs Say They're Changing the World
The CEOs of prediction markets Polymarket and Kalshi maintain that their platforms are not gambling services. Both companies have faced regulatory scrutiny but argue they provide valuable insights and data.
Maduro's capture gives Polymarket, prediction market traders huge profits
Traders on the prediction market Polymarket profited greatly from correctly predicting the capture of Nicolás Maduro. These gains occurred amidst an evolving regulatory environment for prediction markets.
Goldman Sachs Could Soon Jump Into Prediction Markets, David Solomon Says
Goldman Sachs is exploring opportunities in prediction markets, according to CEO David Solomon's recent earnings call comments. The bank is considering entering this rapidly growing sector which includes platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi.