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35OpenAI Fires an Employee for Prediction Market Insider Trading
OpenAI fired an employee for violating its insider trading policy by making trades on prediction markets like Polymarket and Kalshi using confidential information. The incident highlights the growing scrutiny of Big Tech employees engaging in prediction markets based on non-public knowledge.
Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season? Predicti...
Polymarket lists real-time odds for a prediction market event: "Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?" Trading is available on the platform as of February 25, 2026.
Polymarket and 𝕏 Announce Official Prediction Market Partnership
Polymarket, a prediction market platform, has partnered with 𝕏 (formerly Twitter). The partnership aims to integrate prediction markets into the social media platform, potentially enhancing user engagement and information discovery.
Iran Predictions & Real-Time Odds
Polymarket is offering predictions and real-time odds related to Iran as of February 20, 2026. The URL provided directs users to Polymarket's prediction market for insights on this topic.
Golden Globes bring gambling to awards in Polymarket parnership
The Golden Globes are partnering with Polymarket to bring online betting to the awards show. The partnership aims to increase audience engagement, with Polymarket enabling users to bet on the winners of various categories.
The CEOs of Kalshi and Polymarket Are Betting On the Most Hated Experiment in Business
The *Vanity Fair* article analyzes the prediction market platforms Kalshi and Polymarket, highlighting their increasing influence and the potential for users to both gain and lose significant amounts of money by wagering on various events from politics to weather. Despite regulatory scrutiny and controversy, prediction markets are becoming increasingly powerful and difficult to stop.
🔮 Polymarket is Doubling Down on Substack
Polymarket is increasing its presence on Substack after launching "The Oracle by Polymarket" on the platform a year ago. The specific plans for expansion and content strategy are not mentioned.
Journalists wake up to the power of prediction markets » Nieman Journalism Lab
The Nieman Lab article discusses the increasing interest in prediction markets within the journalism industry. It highlights the potential for these markets to tap into collective audience knowledge and improve accuracy in reporting and forecasting.
Why Prediction Markets Need Insider Trading
A Polymarket user made $400,000 betting on Nicolás Maduro's ouster hours before it occurred, sparking insider trading accusations. According to the "godfather of prediction markets," insider trading is a net positive because it improves accuracy and incentivizes information flow.
Israelis accused of using military secrets to place Polymarket bets : NPR
Israel has accused two individuals of using military secrets to place bets on Polymarket. The Tel Aviv indictment is the first publicly known instance of people being accused of leveraging confidential information for profit on the prediction market.
In 2024, prediction markets called the presidential election before the polls could. Now, they’re mostly betting on sports.
Prediction markets, which accurately forecasted the 2024 presidential election, are experiencing growth with a shift towards sports betting. The article highlights the growth and potential of prediction markets.
Exclusive: Crypto venture firm Dragonfly closes $650 million fund—even as VCs face ‘mass extinction’
Dragonfly, a cryptocurrency venture capital firm, closed its fourth fund at $650 million. The firm is known for early investments in Polymarket and Ethena, despite the overall downturn in venture capital funding.
404 Page Not Found
This URL leads to a 404 page on Polymarket, a prediction market platform. The specific event the user was trying to access is no longer available.
Polymarket investor Vitalik Buterin says prediction markets need to stop catering to 'dumb opinions'
Polymarket investor Vitalik Buterin suggested prediction markets should pivot from speculative topics to AI-powered hedging tools that offset real-world costs like housing and food. Buterin believes the current speculative model caters to "dumb opinions."
Sports betting reshaped newsrooms, and it’s “a little gross.” Now, here come the prediction markets
The increasing integration of sports betting into newsrooms has raised ethical concerns, leading some to describe the situation as "gross." Prediction markets are emerging as the next potential disruptor, prompting questions about their impact on the integrity of sports media.
VCs Are Throwing Money At Recent College Grads To Build Prediction Markets
VC firms are heavily investing in prediction market startups, particularly those founded by recent college graduates. Polymarket and Kalshi have attracted $3.7 billion in new capital and created young billionaires, driving the trend.
Polymarket and Kalshi Are Shitposting Their Way to Legitimacy
Polymarket and Kalshi, prediction market platforms with valuations exceeding $10 billion, are utilizing unconventional social media strategies akin to troll accounts to cultivate legitimacy. These platforms engage in humorous and provocative online interactions to attract attention and build a unique brand identity within the tech and finance sectors.
TKO And Polymarket Announce First-Of-Its-Kind Sports Partnership
TKO Group Holdings, the parent company of UFC and WWE, has partnered with Polymarket, making the latter the official and exclusive prediction market partner of UFC and Zuffa Boxing. The collaboration aims to create new fan engagement opportunities via Polymarket's prediction market platform.
AI Is Getting Scary Good at Making Predictions
AI's predictive capabilities are rapidly advancing, even surpassing human "superforecasters" in accuracy. Experts are increasingly concerned about the implications, with some superforecasters believing AI will soon make their own skills obsolete.
Super Bowl 2026: Kalshi, Polymarket Lure Pro Gamblers From Sportsbooks
Prediction markets like Kalshi and Polymarket are attracting professional gamblers who are seeking alternatives to traditional sportsbooks. These platforms allow users to bet on the outcomes of various events, including Super Bowl LX in 2026, using a contract-based system.
How Are Markets Disputed?
This Polymarket documentation page explains how users can dispute the outcome of markets on the platform. It details the dispute process, including the initial dispute period, community review, and resolution process, ensuring fair and accurate market outcomes.
Market Outcomes
The Kalshi Help Center article explains how market outcomes work on their platform, focusing on the resolution process for Yes/No contracts. It describes the roles of Kalshi's research team and the independent third-party auditor in determining accurate and reliable outcomes.
Who will perform at 2026 Big Game halftime show? Predicti...
Polymarket hosts a prediction market for the performer at the 2026 Super Bowl halftime show, allowing users to trade on their beliefs about who will take the stage on February 10, 2026.
Pro Football Championship MVP Predictions & Odds
Polymarket is offering real-time odds and a prediction market for the "Pro Football Championship MVP" as of February 5, 2026. Users can trade on Polymarket's platform to speculate on who will win the MVP award.
Bad Bunny wears a dress or skirt at the Pro Football Cham...
Polymarket is hosting a prediction market on whether Bad Bunny will wear a dress or skirt at the Pro Football Championship as of February 5, 2026. Users can trade on the outcome via the Polymarket platform.
Will Bad Bunny say "Fuck ICE" at the Pro Football Champio...
Polymarket is offering a prediction market on whether Bad Bunny will say "Fuck ICE" at the Super Bowl as of February 5, 2026. Users can trade on the outcome of this event on Polymarket's platform.
First song at 2026 Pro Football Championship Halftime Sho...
Polymarket lists real-time odds for "First song at 2026 Pro Football Championship Halftime Show?" as of February 5, 2026. The platform allows users to trade on this prediction market.
Pro Football Champion 2026 Predictions & Odds
Polymarket is hosting a prediction market for the "Pro Football Champion 2026," allowing users to trade on the odds of which team will win the Super Bowl in February 2026. Real-time odds are available on the platform.
Predictions market regulator scraps proposed ban on sports contracts, says new rules are coming
The CFTC (Commodity Futures Trading Commission) has decided against a proposed ban on contracts related to live sports events offered by platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket. New regulations are expected to be introduced instead, as these contracts have sparked comparisons to the expanding realm of legalized sports betting in the United States.
Super Bowl Props Predictions & Odds
Polymarket lists resolved Super Bowl prop bets and their historical odds. It offers a prediction market for various Super Bowl-related events and outcomes.
Online trades on Maduro ouster spur bill to ban Polymarket insider trading
A bill proposed by Rep. Ritchie Torres aims to prohibit government officials from using insider information to trade on prediction markets like Polymarket. This legislation is a direct response to activity surrounding predictions about the potential ouster of Nicolás Maduro in Venezuela.
Gambling platform Polymarket not paying bets on US invasion of Venezuela
Polymarket, a gambling platform, is refusing to pay out $10.5 million in bets placed on a US invasion of Venezuela. Gamblers are upset because the capture of Nicolás Maduro was deemed not to qualify as an invasion, leading to the platform's decision.
Polymarket and Kalshi CEOs Say They're Changing the World
The CEOs of prediction markets Polymarket and Kalshi maintain that their platforms are not gambling services. Both companies have faced regulatory scrutiny but argue they provide valuable insights and data.
Maduro's capture gives Polymarket, prediction market traders huge profits
Traders on the prediction market Polymarket profited greatly from correctly predicting the capture of Nicolás Maduro. These gains occurred amidst an evolving regulatory environment for prediction markets.
Goldman Sachs Could Soon Jump Into Prediction Markets, David Solomon Says
Goldman Sachs is exploring opportunities in prediction markets, according to CEO David Solomon's recent earnings call comments. The bank is considering entering this rapidly growing sector which includes platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi.